Here is a very recent talk by Kevin Kelly on what he calls the Mesh, which is the future of the Web. If Kevin isn't generally correct with his 12 forces, or vision of the next 5,000 days of the web, or the Mesh, then can you offer an explanation of an alternative future or reasons why he's wrong?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8DprsisgvDw

On Tue, Aug 28, 2018 at 5:28 AM Mark Stahlman <[log in to unmask]> wrote:
Jamie:

Good one! Kevin wrote that article in 2009, when people were still 
"fanatics" about social media.  Then, in 2016, Trump was elected and, 
as a result, these *same* people are now running as fast as they can 
for the exits . . . !!

"Wikipedia, Flickr, and Twitter aren't just revolutions in online 
social media. They're the vanguard of a cultural movement" (caption on 
the 2009 "Global Collectivist Society" Wired article.)

Dave Kirkpatrick (who once used to take me out for expensive lunches 
when I was on Wall Street, paying with his Fortune magazine expense 
account) wrote "The Facebook Effect" and, now that no one there will 
talk to him, he's calling it the "Facebook Defect."  Apparently his 
next book is just called "Zuck" (or maybe "Zucktown" or just "Zucky.")

https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__www.nytimes.com_2018_03_21_technology_facebook-2Dzucktown-2Dwillow-2Dvillage.html&d=DwIBaQ&c=eLbWYnpnzycBCgmb7vCI4uqNEB9RSjOdn_5nBEmmeq0&r=HPo1IXYDhKClogP-UOpybo6Cfxxz-jIYBgjO2gOz4-A&m=kMe75TrfEm5i2S2LO5GyHfT0y6eBkCaBvgB2lotZaEY&s=i34lwwtA5RXMDvu5rRhDQeCEwO15I8h6rK6hnahfEoU&e=

Last year some of us attended a conference at Wharton organized by my 
old friend Kevin Werbach.  Like Kelly &al, he was once a "fanatic" 
about how these technologies would usher in a *utopia* (as promoted at 
his "Supernova" conferences) -- only to find out that "utopia" 
actually means "no place."  His recent event had 20+ speakers on the 
same theme about how social media had turned against everyone (and, in 
particular, everyone who once wrote things like Kelly and themselves.) 
  It will become a book soon, named "After the Digital Tornado" -- 
reversing the promo he did 20 years ago when he was an "evangelist" at 
the FCC.

https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__www.amazon.com_Digital-2DTornado-2DInternet-2DTelecommunications-2DPolicy_dp_B00HQ7H3YG&d=DwIBaQ&c=eLbWYnpnzycBCgmb7vCI4uqNEB9RSjOdn_5nBEmmeq0&r=HPo1IXYDhKClogP-UOpybo6Cfxxz-jIYBgjO2gOz4-A&m=kMe75TrfEm5i2S2LO5GyHfT0y6eBkCaBvgB2lotZaEY&s=Ea00vfgmLmEHrkqe0JAPY1sibedlMnzuoLeIJs1oLwE&e=

Nobody (who is paying attention) agrees with what Kelly wrote in 2009 
anymore.  What has become clear is that anything based on an 
advertising business-model is a version of TELEVISION and not 
*digital* at all.  Another of my old friends, Roger McNamee (now a 
rich investor and once a student of mine, as well as mentor to 
Zuckerberg), has started the "Center for Humane Technology" and is 
raising money to get people to leave these platforms altogether.  They 
describe the problem in these terms: Our society is being hijacked by 
technology.

https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=http-3A__humanetech.com_problem-23team&d=DwIBaQ&c=eLbWYnpnzycBCgmb7vCI4uqNEB9RSjOdn_5nBEmmeq0&r=HPo1IXYDhKClogP-UOpybo6Cfxxz-jIYBgjO2gOz4-A&m=kMe75TrfEm5i2S2LO5GyHfT0y6eBkCaBvgB2lotZaEY&s=oimkBsdH570jSbNT9cepjVy-EuIifbL3aEfOQ0oa1mc&e=

Another old friend of mine, Doug Rushkoff (who has "borrowed" many 
ideas from me for his books, many wildly "evangelical" about 
technology), is about to publish his "Team Human" -- subtitled "Our 
technologies, markets, and cultural institutions -- once forces for 
human connection and expression -- now isolate and repress us."  -- in 
which he takes all of this talk about "socialist revolution" to task 
as make-believe promoted by people who never understood the *effects* 
of these technologies in the first place . . . !!

https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__www.amazon.com_Team-2DHuman-2DDouglas-2DRushkoff_dp_039365169X&d=DwIBaQ&c=eLbWYnpnzycBCgmb7vCI4uqNEB9RSjOdn_5nBEmmeq0&r=HPo1IXYDhKClogP-UOpybo6Cfxxz-jIYBgjO2gOz4-A&m=kMe75TrfEm5i2S2LO5GyHfT0y6eBkCaBvgB2lotZaEY&s=fsYv_W3COw8SCIuJ_XbAwRc_F5QnxVC80p519n3IZwQ&e=

Gregg's "Fifth Joint Point" isn't about one of these "no place" 
flights of fantasy -- at least as I understand it.  If it is, then 
like the "transhumanism" you promote on your blog (and resume &c), it 
will fail.  Miserably.

https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__moralapex.wordpress.com_recommended-2Dreading_&d=DwIBaQ&c=eLbWYnpnzycBCgmb7vCI4uqNEB9RSjOdn_5nBEmmeq0&r=HPo1IXYDhKClogP-UOpybo6Cfxxz-jIYBgjO2gOz4-A&m=kMe75TrfEm5i2S2LO5GyHfT0y6eBkCaBvgB2lotZaEY&s=fC-PIgbPm1FBRczIkRzSxcG9IbwyVN52JrS6tFPPzwA&e=

The humans won't put up with it . . . <g>

Mark

P.S. To understand how TELEVISION became the *monster* that took over 
DIGITAL, you will need Marshall McLuhan.  He detailed how one 
media-environment becomes the "content" of another in his 1964 
"Understanding Media: The Extensions of Man," based on work he had 
been doing in the 1950s.  He began with a grant from the Ford 
Foundation in 1953, titled "Changing Patterns of Language and Behavior 
and the New Media of Communication," which was dealing with 
*television* as a follow-up to the 1930s Rockefeller Radio Research 
Project -- which, in turn, had been organized as a result of the 
paradigm-shift that produced Hilter &al.  Today, our corresponding 
*digital* shift is producing something quite different -- which, once 
again, due to our problems with figure/ground, most people refuse to 
understand.

https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__en.wikipedia.org_wiki_Radio-5FResearch-5FProject&d=DwIBaQ&c=eLbWYnpnzycBCgmb7vCI4uqNEB9RSjOdn_5nBEmmeq0&r=HPo1IXYDhKClogP-UOpybo6Cfxxz-jIYBgjO2gOz4-A&m=kMe75TrfEm5i2S2LO5GyHfT0y6eBkCaBvgB2lotZaEY&s=RvhmuA9cRkUdaS9NgORIN6fqvbTR00cVRc8dSoqvZT0&e=

Quoting Mathew Jamie Dunbaugh <[log in to unmask]>:

> This article talks about some ideas that relate to Gregg's fifth joint
> point:
>
> The New Socialism: Global Collectivist Society Is Coming Online
>
> https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__www.wired.com_2009_05_nep-2Dnewsocialism_&d=DwIBaQ&c=eLbWYnpnzycBCgmb7vCI4uqNEB9RSjOdn_5nBEmmeq0&r=HPo1IXYDhKClogP-UOpybo6Cfxxz-jIYBgjO2gOz4-A&m=krID2rH5nVNBkOp4EXVIdx1r5_H3IsAntLwEEyaXrL8&s=Pd-bVCEddII0D6QotWq8eScr8x9t4yE8flzRvOfhWxo&e=
>
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